PRECIOUS METALS

Buy palladium: ANZ

ANZ Research says current market positioning is providing a rare opportunity to buy palladium.

Kristie Batten

This article is 10 years old. Images might not display.

Analysts see a “significant deficit” in palladium this year.

Palladium has fallen from its 2015 high in March of around $US832.65 an ounce to a low of $666.45/oz in June.

The precious metal fell by around 15% alone last month and was trading at $681.30/oz overnight.

ANZ is tipping at least a 10% rally in the next three months.

“Recent sharp moves in market positioning have decreased the risk of further downside, providing a good opportunity to buy spot palladium,” ANZ said.

“Current market positioning suggests a strong chance of a short-covering rally in the near future.”

According to ANZ, commercial market participants have significantly reduced the size of their hedge books, which is a good indicator of the bottom of the market.

The gross non-commercial short position is at a record high of 22% of open positions, from 7% in May.

ANZ is tipping non-commercial traders to need to cover their shorts once the price uptrend starts.

“We expect prices to recovery sharply when this occurs,” it said.

ANZ is tipping the price to rise to $775/oz in the next three months.

TOPICS:

Expert-led Insights reports and Analytics tools built on robust data, rigorous analysis and expert commentary covering mining Risk, Projects, ESG, Leadership, and Investor Sentiment.

Expert-led Insights reports and Analytics tools built on robust data, rigorous analysis and expert commentary covering mining Risk, Projects, ESG, Leadership, and Investor Sentiment.

editions

Investor Sentiment Insights 2026

Discover what investors have planned for mining in 2026 in our industry-leading survey

editions

World Risk Insights 2025 (feat. MineHutte ratings)

A detailed analysis of mining investment risks across 120 jurisdictions globally, assessed across six risk categories and an industrywide survey.

editions

ESG Index 2025: Benchmarking the Future of Sustainable Mining

The ESG Index provides an in-depth evaluation of the ESG performance of 60+ of the world’s largest mining companies. It assesses companies across 10 weighted indicators within 6 essential ESG pillars.

editions

Leadership Insights 2025

Leadership Insights reveals key trends in priority mining issues through interviews with 15+ top mining company executives and an industrywide survey.