PRECIOUS METALS

Gold bears 'looking vulnerable'

BULLION trader and market commentator Ross Norman says news that gold bears had increased their short position, despite a sharply rising gold price, meant they were risking losses.

Staff reporter
 Image: iStock/ma-no

Image: iStock/ma-no

The CEO of London-based precious metals trader Sharps Pixley said if the market continued to rise and the bears were forced to buy-back their loss-making position, "gold could rally very significantly from here".

"Meanwhile the extreme long positioning of the US dollar has been reduced and it only remains to see whether the gold bears are sufficiently resourced to hold out … their recent positioning suggests they are doubling up and hoping to hang on," he said.

"In short, the bears are looking vulnerable."

He said the gold price had cracked the important technical resistance at US$1215 an ounce, the trendline back to 2005, and said gold bulls would be eyeing the 200-day moving average at $1278/oz with interest.

"This would for be a worthy target for bulls," he said.

The gold price has averaged about $1277/oz over the past 12 months, reaching $1358.46/oz on the spot market in January before dropping to $1174.16 in mid-August.

It started to surge late last week from below $1200/oz amid continuing trade tensions, a weaker US dollar and a sell-off in global equities market, and was worth around $1226/oz on the spot market at the time of writing, as the Bloomberg chart below illustrates.

/

The gold spot price over the past year. Source: Bloomberg

 

A growing series of reports, each focused on a key discussion point for the mining sector, brought to you by the Mining News Intelligence team.

A growing series of reports, each focused on a key discussion point for the mining sector, brought to you by the Mining News Intelligence team.

editions

MiningNews.net Research Report 2024

Access a multi-pronged tool to identify critical risks and opportunities in Australia’s mining industry.

editions

Mining Journal Intelligence Investor Sentiment Report 2024

Survey revealing the plans, priorities, and preferences of 120+ mining investors and their expectations for the sector in 2024.

editions

Mining Journal Intelligence Mining Equities Report 2023

Access an exclusive, inside look on the quarterly mining IPOs and secondary raisings data and mining equities performance tables with an annual Stock Exchange Comparisons supplement.

editions

Mining Journal Intelligence World Risk Report 2023 (feat. MineHutte ratings)

A detailed analysis of mining investment risks across 121 jurisdictions globally, built on 11 ‘hard risk’ metrics and an industrywide survey.