PRECIOUS METALS

Supply uncertainty to keep gold prices high

GOLD is currently trading at just under US$1800 an ounce and industry is on a high, and it's expected to remain so for the foreseeable future, according to Wood Mackenzie's analysts.

 Image: iStock/ma-no

Image: iStock/ma-no

On Wednesday, Wood Mackenzie hosted a metals and mining briefing hosted by global head of metals Simon Morris.

Analysts noted that despite a softening earlier this year, gold as a precious metal will remain one of the strongest commodity performers for a long time yet.

"Gold is a very interesting story," Morris said.

"We've seen a strong rebound in production since a dip last year."

In 2020, about one fifth of mines were hit by COVID-19 causing shutdowns of production.

Morris said miners had now officially recovered in his view, with major projects coming back online.

"We're back up on 2019 production levels now," Morris said.

According to Morris, there are two important points to note in the gold market looking forward.

Over the next few years, around 85 gold projects will come online, which could push some prices down. However, offsetting this will be then closure of "over 100 gold mines internationally".

"Where that additional supply is going to come from, leaves us with some questions," he noted.

This uncertainty will be a boon for investors and miners alike with gold prices expected to hold for the foreseeable future.

However, there's one challenge facing the gold market, namely carbon dioxide.

"Gold produces a lot of carbon," Morris said.

According to WoodMac, its about 25,000 tonnes of Co2 per tonne. As ESG becomes more of an issue in the mining space, demand for low-carbon gold will go up.

"This is a challenge. The production story of gold will provide a few headaches for the industry." 

A growing series of reports, each focused on a key discussion point for the mining sector, brought to you by the Mining News Intelligence team.

A growing series of reports, each focused on a key discussion point for the mining sector, brought to you by the Mining News Intelligence team.

editions

MiningNews.net Research Report 2024

Access a multi-pronged tool to identify critical risks and opportunities in Australia’s mining industry.

editions

Mining Journal Intelligence Investor Sentiment Report 2024

Survey revealing the plans, priorities, and preferences of 120+ mining investors and their expectations for the sector in 2024.

editions

Mining Journal Intelligence Mining Equities Report 2023

Access an exclusive, inside look on the quarterly mining IPOs and secondary raisings data and mining equities performance tables with an annual Stock Exchange Comparisons supplement.

editions

Mining Journal Intelligence World Risk Report 2023 (feat. MineHutte ratings)

A detailed analysis of mining investment risks across 121 jurisdictions globally, built on 11 ‘hard risk’ metrics and an industrywide survey.